Description

This analysis provides a forecast of TRX prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-01-26 0.174164 0.195345 0.217443 0.242165 0.268994 0.297173 0.328952
2025-02-02 0.150497 0.179896 0.212025 0.249553 0.291993 0.338305 0.392467
2025-02-09 0.129615 0.164010 0.203163 0.250629 0.306196 0.368767 0.444116
2025-02-16 0.114792 0.152944 0.197991 0.254406 0.322440 0.401102 0.498154
2025-02-23 0.105245 0.146864 0.197622 0.263015 0.343900 0.439526 0.559906
2025-03-02 0.092513 0.135344 0.189318 0.260832 0.351507 0.461029 0.601565
2025-03-09 0.082787 0.126625 0.183574 0.260994 0.361374 0.484951 0.646211
2025-03-16 0.073891 0.118074 0.177198 0.259575 0.368657 0.505356 0.686534
2025-03-23 0.068620 0.113983 0.176283 0.264949 0.384487 0.536553 0.740735
2025-03-30 0.062257 0.107690 0.171788 0.265014 0.393002 0.558276 0.783068
2025-04-06 0.056519 0.101760 0.167291 0.264618 0.400568 0.578627 0.823751
2025-04-13 0.051268 0.096067 0.162668 0.263621 0.407005 0.597357 0.862418
2025-04-20 0.047179 0.092010 0.160395 0.266140 0.418771 0.624039 0.912997
2025-04-27 0.044866 0.090614 0.161976 0.274224 0.438473 0.661786 0.979019
2025-05-04 0.041147 0.086508 0.159088 0.275463 0.448361 0.686279 1.027650
2025-05-11 0.038417 0.083832 0.158214 0.279573 0.462353 0.716584 1.084600
2025-05-18 0.036992 0.083327 0.160725 0.288855 0.484032 0.757913 1.157259
2025-05-25 0.033420 0.078552 0.155940 0.286525 0.488395 0.774919 1.196609
2025-06-01 0.030650 0.074991 0.152904 0.286709 0.496359 0.797021 1.243246
2025-06-08 0.027848 0.071070 0.148968 0.285189 0.501565 0.815132 1.284450
2025-06-15 0.026458 0.069823 0.149558 0.290968 0.517974 0.849594 1.349138
2025-06-22 0.024315 0.066800 0.146797 0.291040 0.525469 0.871134 1.395721
2025-06-29 0.022288 0.063796 0.143854 0.290615 0.532069 0.891367 1.440630